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CAR +3.5 · GB -3.5
Green Bay's defense is the better unit, and the game turns on whether Carolina can run, because the Packers cannot.
CAR 3-2 (2-1 road). GB 4-2 (2-1 home).
▲ offense has it▼ defense has it● even
When CAR has the ball vs GB
CAR offense 73.0 #14·GB defense 70.6 #11
Already 5th with a pass defense grade of 83.4, Green Bay's pass defense Trend is "Strong Upward", so they have been climbing. Green Bay takes the ball away on 16.9% of plays, 1st, and allows 5.6 net yards per pass, 6th.
Carolina averages 4.3 yards a carry, 12th, on 632 rushing yards, 26th. Green Bay's run defense grade is 22nd at 57.6, allowing 3.9 a carry, 12th.
Clutch is how a drive ends. These are the stats inside that grade. Rank 1 is best.
| CAR | GB defense | |
|---|---|---|
| Red-zone scores | 65.2% #11 | 68.0% #22 |
| Third down | 41.0% #12 | 44.1% #24 |
| Drives that score | 43.3% #9 | 31.2% #3 |
| Turnovers | 9.0% #15 | 16.9% #1 |
| Points per drive | 2.37 #7 | 1.87 #8 |
| Starting field position | 32.9 #5 | 28.6 #5 |
Drives that score are the gap. Carolina scores on 43.3%, 9th. Green Bay allows 31.2%, 3rd. That is 12 points.
- Road dogs of 3.5 covered 51.3% of 228 league games, and 68.4% teased to +9.5.
- Carolina is 2 of 7 on the road at this number, against anyone.
When GB has the ball vs CAR
GB offense 60.5 #29·CAR defense 59.2 #23
Green Bay has 1,880 passing yards, 3rd, at 6.6 net yards per pass, 11th. The pass grade is 11th at 76.3. Carolina's pass defense grade is 9th at 75, allowing 5.6 net yards per pass, 6th.
Green Bay averages 2.9 yards a carry, last, on 419 rushing yards, also last. The run grade is 31st at 38.9. Carolina allows 5.2 a carry, last, and the run defense grade is 31st at 44.3.
Clutch is how a drive ends. These are the stats inside that grade. Rank 1 is best.
| GB | CAR defense | |
|---|---|---|
| Red-zone scores | 46.2% #30 | 76.5% #28 |
| Third down | 35.2% #28 | 44.4% #25 |
| Drives that score | 35.1% #25 | 40.6% #19 |
| Turnovers | 10.4% #18 | 8.7% #25 |
| Points per drive | 1.88 #20 | 2.26 #21 |
| Starting field position | 31.9 #10 | 30.4 #17 |
Red zone is the gap. Green Bay scores on 46.2% of trips, 30th. Carolina allows 76.5%, 28th. That is 30 points, and it is Green Bay. The clutch grade is 31st at 56.5.
- Home favorites of 3.5 covered 48.7% of 228 league games, and 69.7% teased to +2.5.
- Green Bay is 3 of 3 at home at this number, against anyone.